Stocks dynamics remains mysterious

Global crude stocks are the subject of interest for many market participants lately. Sattelite imagery providers are reporting steep draws since November, especially Kayrros. On the other side, more conventional surveying techniques such as the API survey reports stock builds in the US (0.6 mb last week for crude). The IEA also released their monthly oil report yesterday…

EGM Monthly Report – November 2021

EGM Monthly Report – November 2021 Macroeconomic and forex Global output lags behind global demand and recruitment difficulties are not easing, which fuels inflationary pressures. Central banks resist market pressure and defy rate hike expectations, pushing equity markets to record-high levels. The euro may not have bottomed out yet. Oil The current high prices for…

Confliciting messages

Yesterday’s Short Term Energy Outlook published by the EIA showed a relatively balanced global oil market, with stock builds in H1 22, which was a key report for the US administration to decide whether an SPR release was needed. While the STEO was relatively underwhelming, the API survey showed another set of stock draws across…

EUAs gave back early gains on falling gas prices

The European power spot prices rebounded yesterday, driven up by forecasts of lower wind and solar generation and colder temperatures strengthening the power demand. The day-ahead prices averaged 200.15€/MWh in Germany, the Netherlands, France and Belgium, +25.06€/MWh day-on-day with the largest gains posted by the two latter which rose to respectively 232.40€/MWh and 215.47€/MWh. After…

Prices down on higher Russian supply

European gas prices dropped yesterday as the long-awaited rise in Russian flows seems to materialize. Indeed, Gazprom said yesterday it had started to implement a plan for gas injection this month into five of its European storage facilities. Yesterday, Russian supply was higher (to 269 mm cm/day on average, compared to 252 mm cm/day on…

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