Prices up after certification procedure of Nord Stream 2 AG was suspended

European gas prices increased strongly yesterday, supported by the Germany’s energy regulator (the Bundesnetzagentur) to suspend the procedure to certify Nord Stream 2 AG as an independent transmission operator, which brings new uncertainty over when the pipeline will begin commercial operations. The rise in Asia JKM prices (+8.82%, to €102.492/MWh, on the spot; +0.42%, to…

The euro continues to weaken

The publication of very good activity data in the US reinforced the rise in bond yields (the US “10 year” has recovered 20bp in 4 sessions) and pushed the dollar to its highest level since July 2020. Retail sales rose by 1.7% in October and industrial production rose by 1.6%. The NAHB housing market index rebounded by 3…

Stocks dynamics remains mysterious

Global crude stocks are the subject of interest for many market participants lately. Sattelite imagery providers are reporting steep draws since November, especially Kayrros. On the other side, more conventional surveying techniques such as the API survey reports stock builds in the US (0.6 mb last week for crude). The IEA also released their monthly oil report yesterday…

EGM Monthly Report – November 2021

EGM Monthly Report – November 2021 Macroeconomic and forex Global output lags behind global demand and recruitment difficulties are not easing, which fuels inflationary pressures. Central banks resist market pressure and defy rate hike expectations, pushing equity markets to record-high levels. The euro may not have bottomed out yet. Oil The current high prices for…

Confliciting messages

Yesterday’s Short Term Energy Outlook published by the EIA showed a relatively balanced global oil market, with stock builds in H1 22, which was a key report for the US administration to decide whether an SPR release was needed. While the STEO was relatively underwhelming, the API survey showed another set of stock draws across…

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