EUAs hit new record on bullish gas and option trading

The European spot prices started to fall yesterday, driven down by forecast of surging wind output, and should drop further today with a German wind generation expected to reach 28GW tomorrow. The day-ahead prices for today averaged 202.12€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, -31.07€/MWh day-on-day but in line (+2€/MWh) with last week. The…

Prices up after certification procedure of Nord Stream 2 AG was suspended

European gas prices increased strongly yesterday, supported by the Germany’s energy regulator (the Bundesnetzagentur) to suspend the procedure to certify Nord Stream 2 AG as an independent transmission operator, which brings new uncertainty over when the pipeline will begin commercial operations. The rise in Asia JKM prices (+8.82%, to €102.492/MWh, on the spot; +0.42%, to…

The euro continues to weaken

The publication of very good activity data in the US reinforced the rise in bond yields (the US “10 year” has recovered 20bp in 4 sessions) and pushed the dollar to its highest level since July 2020. Retail sales rose by 1.7% in October and industrial production rose by 1.6%. The NAHB housing market index rebounded by 3…

Stocks dynamics remains mysterious

Global crude stocks are the subject of interest for many market participants lately. Sattelite imagery providers are reporting steep draws since November, especially Kayrros. On the other side, more conventional surveying techniques such as the API survey reports stock builds in the US (0.6 mb last week for crude). The IEA also released their monthly oil report yesterday…

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