The markets are hesitant, with no clear direction. The EUR/USD exchange rate has risen sharply to 1.09 after statements by ECB members raising the possibility of a rate hike as early as July and the possibility of positive rates before the end of the year, which would imply 3 rate hikes of 25bp. The markets have adjusted.…
European gas prices increased yesterday, supported by lower Norwegian flows (down to 313 mm cm/day on average, compared to 346 mm cm/day on Tuesday, due to planned maintenance at the giant Troll gas field and the Kollsnes processing plant) and higher coal prices (+1.29% for API2 1st nearby prices, +4.40% for Cal 2023 prices). On their…
Bulls took control of crude oil prices on Tuesday, supported by reports of falling crude production in Russia (to its lowest level since July 2020 below the 10 Mbd mark on Monday according to Reuters) and a cautious easing of lockdown restrictions in Shanghai. Brent 1st nearby traded as high as $105.60/b intraday. In its monthly…
The release of the US CPI figures showed a further acceleration in the inflation rate in March 2022 at 8.5% yoy, which was the largest year-on-year gain since December 1981. Surging gasoline prices were the main contributor of this sharp increase, but food and services also made strong contributions. A 50 basis points interest rate hike…
European spot and near curve gas prices dropped yesterday, pressured by warmer weather and comfortable LNG and pipeline supply. Russian flows rebounded slightly yesterday, averaging 245 mm cm/day, compared to 241 mm cm/day on Friday. Norwegian flows were stable at 324 mm cm/day on average. By contrast, far curve prices were up again, supported by resilient…
