Curve prices up on higher clean fuel costs

NWE spot baseload power prices weakened yesterday, to €112.303/MWh on average for today delivery (compared to €118.879/MW for Thursday), pressured by forecasts of higher wind generation (5596 MW for today in Germany, compared to 3151 MW yesterday). EUA Dec’21 prices resumed their uptrend and closed at €61.52/t (+2.33% day-on-day), supported by the rise in the…

Prices resumed their uptrend

After taking a breather on Wednesday, European gas prices resumed their uptrend yesterday, still supported by tight fundamentals. Indeed, Russian supply remained weak yesterday, averaging 287 mm cm/day (compared to 288 mm cm/day on Wednesday), as both flows through Poland and Ukraine remained below their levels of last week. Norwegian flows were down, averaging 292…

Longer-term hurricane impacts emerge

The BSEE reported that as of yesterday that the total outages in the Gulf of Mexico remained at 1.7 mb/d, which was revised higher from the day before when the bureau estimated outages at only 1.4 mb/d. This shows that impacts on production are still not fully understood. In the wake of this news and a…

When the bad can be good

A new record for the equity markets in New York, stable bond yields and a falling USD: the market is calmly awaiting the August employment report in the US. The consensus is +725k, down from the last 2 months. The ADP figures suggest a much lower result, reflecting the surge in the delta variant. On the other…

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