Mixed price evolution
European gas prices were mixed yesterday, torn between conflicting fundamentals. Russian flows dropped yesterday, averaging 221 mm cm/day, compared to 225 mm cm/day on Friday.…
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Crude prices continued to rise yesterday, to reach 75 $/b for the ICE Brent August contract on the backend of drawing US petroleum inventories and supportive macro environment for inflation. In their latest EIA data release, commercial crude stocks drew by 4.1 mb, in line with seasonal norms. Gasoline and distillate stocks both declined by respectively 2.3 mb and 3.1 mb, as demand remained elevated across the board. US production was revised down at 11.2 mb/d, more in line with our expectations, as the recent measurement of 11.4 mb/d seemed at odds with the frac spread count and the onshore rig count. The WTI-Brent narrowed shortly after, after reaching a weak 2.7 $/b, to 2.24 $/b. Brazilian runs increased more than expected in June, at 1.7 mb/d, when we expected low utilization rates throughout the year due to the pandemic.