Crude prices supported despite a weak EIA report

Crude futures remained supported, at 78.5 $/b, despite rapidly falling time spreads, with front-month ICE Brent time spread now valued at 50 cents, from 80 cents prior in the month. The move was likely due to the rather disappointing EIA data release, where stocks were built by 10 mb in total and more than 4…

Contraction of industrial activity in China but rebound in services

The August PMIs confirmed the negative impact of the power cuts on China’s industrial activity in September, with the manufacturing PMI falling below 50 for the first time since the Covid-19 outbreak in February. The sharp rebound in the non-manufacturing index from 47.5 to 53.2, on the other hand, shows that the lifting of key restrictions…

Correction amid rising US stocks

Crude futures corrected, as signs of weakness multiplied across markets, as we mentioned yesterday. ICE Brent November contract fell from 80*/b to 77.7 $/b on early Wednesday, as time spreads started to correct as soon as Monday, amid rather loose fundamentals. Indeed, the API survey depicted a grim outlook for US inventories, as crude stocks built by…

After the record came the fall

The European power spot prices fell back yesterday as forecasts of a sharply rising wind output pressure the market despite expectations of stronger power demand (particularly limiting the losses in France) and weaker solar generation. The day-ahead prices hence averaged 137.85€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, -18.15€/MWh. Pursuing their significant bullish rally started…

Prices up on lower Russian flows

European gas spot and near curve prices were up overall yesterday, supported by lower Russian supply and the rise in Asia JKM prices (+11.52% on the spot, to €93.387/MWh, +0.64% for the November 2021 contract, to €85.735/MWh). The rise in year-ahead prices was more moderate as they were pressured by the drop in parity prices…

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