Roller coaster

Financial markets continue to move in tandem with news from the Russian-Ukrainian border. At the end of last week, there was widespread pessimism ahead of a Russian attack that the US administration said was “imminent”. The French and German governments called on their citizens to leave Ukraine. The trend reversed overnight after the Russian and US…

Carbon prices retreated on fears of intervention and falling equities

Forecasts of stronger demand and slightly weaker renewable and nuclear generation buoyed the European power spot prices yesterday, although the German prices continued to observe a discount due to the country’s still strong wind generation expected to reach up to 41GW at the end of the day. The day-ahead prices averaged 183.05€/MWh in Germany, France,…

Tensions on the Ukrainian border continued to support prices

European gas prices increased again yesterday, mainly supported by rising tensions on the Ukrainian border. The rise in Asia JKM prices (+13.70% on the spot, to €80.737/MWh; +1.68% for the March 2022 contract, to €75.110/MWh; +3.65% for the April 2022 contract, to €80.588/MWh) helped accompany the bullish momentum as it suggests stronger competition between Europe…

All eyes on Russia and Ukraine

Oil prices remain stuck at their highs, around $96/b for Brent 1st-nearby. The market is fully focused on what is happening on the Russian-Ukrainian border. The Ukrainian President appeared to raise the possibility of Ukraine withdrawing its application to join Nato, while making a dubious joke about the timing of a possible Russian attack. At the…

Growing concern

The markets are on tenterhooks, watching for the slightest signal that tensions with Russia are easing or that an invasion of Ukraine is imminent. Equity markets fell sharply in Europe yesterday. Volatility was high in the US, but losses were limited. The US 10-year yield rose above 2% before falling back below it again. The dollar strengthened…

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