Prices strongly up on fears of disruption of Russian (pipeline and LNG) flows

European gas prices increased strongly yesterday, ignoring the continuation of Russia pipeline gas exports to Western Europe (which even increased to 258 mm cm/day yesterday, compared to 247 mm cm/day on Monday). The market seems to realize that Russia is not just a major pipeline exporter but also the world’s fourth largest LNG exporter (behind…

Soaring oil prices

The price of Brent crude oil rose by more than $7.5/b yesterday, its second biggest daily gain in the last decade. And it continues to rise this morning; it has already exceeded $113/b. WTI is following suit, also over $110/b, and the API data ahead of today’s EIA stocks report is not likely to calm things…

Bond yields and equities sharply down, USD up

We were trying to find explanations for the wait-and-see attitude of the markets yesterday. It didn’t take long for this attitude to be shattered: energy prices literally soared as the fighting in Ukraine intensified. This led to a rally in the bond markets and the dollar and a plunge in the equity markets. This has been particularly the…

Crude oil prices remain under pressure

The change of reference contract has brought Brent 1st-nearby back below $100/b, but it has already resumed its march back through that level. There is a special meeting of the International Energy Agency today, giving credence to the now quasi-official rumour of a possible 60mb release, half from US strategic reserves, half from a collection of OECD…

Tighter sanctions, but Russian supply continues to flow for the moment

European gas prices were very volatile yesterday, torn between the continuation of Russian gas exports (which averaged 247 mm cm/day yesterday, compared to 248 mm cm/day on Friday) and the tightening of sanctions (including the blocking of certain Russian banks’ access to the SWIFT international payment system) which suggests that at some point these exports…

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