Slight price rebound

European gas prices rebounded slightly yesterday, torn between conflicting fundamentals (in particular weak stock levels, but hopes for an increase in Russian flows). Asia JKM prices (-3.29%, to €100.547/MWh, on the spot; +3.77%, to €98.425/MWh, for the December 2021 contract) and parity prices with coal for power generation (up thanks to the strong rise in…

Electric spillovers

Futures crude markets continued to rise on early Monday, with WTI crude prompt prices nearing 81 $/b at the prompt while ICE Brent futures climbed at 83.8 $/b, amid deepening energy crises in India and China. Indeed, rolling blackouts are now implemented across most Indian provinces to curb coal consumption amid ultra-low coal stocks. Similarly, China’s energy…

Power and carbon prices pursued their retracement on Friday

The weak wind production and increasing power demand due to the lowering temperatures maintained the power spot prices for today at decent levels in northwestern Europe. The day-ahead prices average 178.95€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, -24.89€/MWh from Friday. The carbon prices fell below 60€/t on Friday as the gas market continued to…

Mixed evolution yesterday

Supported by higher demand, European spot gas prices increased yesterday, partially filling their discount against near curve prices. These latter were down overall, pressured by the drop in Asia JKM prices (-8.21%, to €103.963/MWh, on the spot; -0.09%, to €94.853/MWh, for the December 2021 contract). Far curve prices were more resilient, supported by the strong…

Inflationary pressures are building. Monetary tightening approaches

The US job report for September was not as bad as the weak job creation might suggest, as we explained here on Friday. The acceleration of wages is obvious and cannot leave the Fed indifferent: it should announce the beginning of the reduction of its asset purchases on 3 November. The markets will then focus on the timing of…

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