Adverse weather in the Gulf Coast could limit the crude intake

ICE Brent prompt contracts declined by a dollar, as prompt month time spreads dropped by 15 cents. The rise in the Eurodollar exchange rate did not affect crude prices, as Gulf coast refineries were hit by adverse storms, with refineries in Port Arthur, TX and Baton Rouge experiencing unexpected outages. US petroleum inventories may have…

Sharp drop in European prices

European gas prices dropped significantly yesterday, both on the spot and the curve. With spot fundamentals almost unchanged, the bearish movement seems to have been triggered by the sharp decline in EUA prices, which pulled parity prices with coal for power generation significantly down, a signal that led to a selloff by some financial participants…

Sharply lower USD on expectations of dovish Fed minutes

The USD is weakening quickly, as market participants expect the minutes of the last FOMC meeting to confirm the Fed’s willingness to tolerate a temporary surge in inflation. US equities posted losses for the second day in a row, but the bond market remained rather unchanged, with the US 10y around 1.64%. UK price data…

EUAs took a breath from last week’s rally

The European power spot prices remained rather stable yesterday, torn between expectations of higher power demand and weaker wind production, and forecasts of improved French nuclear and hydro generation. Still below both clean gas and coal costs, the day-ahead prices reached 74.18€/MWh on average in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, +2.19€/MWh day-on-day. The EUAs…

Inflation. What else?

The inflationary threat continues to take center stage, particularly in the US and probably for some time to come. Bond yields edged up and equities lost some ground yesterday, although European markets are up this morning. The USD weakened further, the EUR/USD pair now nearing 1.22, but overall the market moves should remain rather moderate…

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