Core inflationary tensions are building in the US

Macro-economy
May 31, 2021

The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation accelerated to +3.1% yoy in April, but equities advanced further and the 10y bond yield fell below 1.6%. Markets still consider those tensions will remain transitory. The Chinese PMIs were solid in May, confirming the strengthening in domestic activity. By contrast, Japan looks closer to recession after weak retail sales and disappointing industrial output figures. The EUR/USD exchange rate remains rather stable near 1.22.

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