Was the confinement just a bad dream in Q4?

First estimates of national accounts in Q4 point to resilient activity or much more resilient than feared. Q1 should be very different, in Europe at least. Financial markets are still very volatile, although the VIX fell back towards 30. The “war” between retail traders ad Hedge Funds looks far from being over. It has undergone multiple twists and turns over the last 24 hours. There is also the shortage of vaccines which is disrupting vaccination campaigns in Europe and clouds recovery prospects. The EUR/USD does not deviate too far from the level of 1.21.

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The decline in long term bond yields was accentuated yesterday, pulling the US 10 year down to 1.43%, mainly on the idea that Joe Biden might decide to…
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