Reflation goes abroad
As the recent collapse in US bond yields, and the flattening of the term structure continues, the reflation thesis might have peaked, with slower growth in…
US economic reports may be too good for markets as they both tend to fuel inflationary fears and lower the need for a big stimulus package. The positive trend in the stock market has started to reverse. Asian markets also suffered from confirmation of the tough stance of the Biden administration vis-à-vis China. The Italian bond spread is narrowing on prospects of a Draghi government, but nothing is done. The euro keeps on weakening against the USD nevertheless, as the market seems catching up with the widening spread between the US and German bond yields.
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