European prices down on ongoing strong LNG supply and rebound in Norwegian flows

European gas prices weakened yesterday, pressured by the additional drop in Asia JKM prices (-4.54% on the spot, to €64.323/MWh; -7.96% for the March 2022 contract, to €63.604/MWh), which indicates LNG supply to Europe will remain very high. The rebound in Norwegian supply (to 321 mm cm/day yesterday, compared to 264 mm cm/day on Tuesday, as some of the unplanned outages have been fixed) provided additional downward pressure. On their side, Russian flows were stable at 184 mm cm/day on average.

At the close, NBP ICE February 2022 prices dropped by 6.790 p/th day-on-day (-3.62%), to 180.730 p/th. TTF ICE February 2022 prices were down by €2.73 (-3.49%), closing at €75.602/MWh. On the far curve, TTF ICE Cal 2023 prices were down by 81 euro cents (-1.86%), closing at €42.533/MWh.

EnergyScan gas news

Once again, only the 5-day Low managed to stop the downward pressure on TTF ICE February 2022 prices yesterday. Prices are falling again this morning, below today’s 5-day Low… but above tomorrow’s. This is indicative of a market where the trend is well marked: financial bears are now playing the trend and not just intraday movements (ie they accept to keep their sell position at least until the next day), but taking care not to sell at levels that are too low. Therefore, at current price levels, further downside potential seems limited for today.

Share this news :

You might also read :

ES-oil
March 21, 2022

The price recovery continues

Brent 1st-nearby is approaching $112/b this morning. Concerns about Russian oil flows have been compounded by a new episode of tension in the Middle East, with…
ES-gas
March 9, 2022

Prices dropped from their recent highs

European gas prices weakened yesterday, maybe “reassured” by the fact that Europe has decided (at least for the time being) not to follow the United…
Join EnergyScan

Get more analysis and data with our Premium subscription

Ask for a free trial here

Don’t have an account yet? 

[booked-calendar]