Prices weakened again

European gas prices dropped again yesterday, pressured by more comfortable spot fundamentals and the strong fall in Asia JKM prices (-36.79%, to €104.713/MWh, on the spot; -7.07%, to €106.913/MWh, for the December 2021 contract). At the close, NBP ICE November 2021 prices dropped by 27.940 p/th day-on-day (-10.22%), to 245.510 p/th. TTF ICE November 2021…

Optimism returns to the markets but rates continue to rise

The temporary deal on the US debt ceiling also gives the Democrats time to agree on the stimulus packages that the Biden administration wants to push through. This may explain why the markets reacted so favourably to the lifting of a risk they never really took seriously (a US default). The sharp rebound in China’s services PMI in…

Diesel supply and demand shocks

Diesel cracks are soaring globally, which may indicate that there is stronger demand, partly due to oil-to-gas switch and a recovery in aviation demand that reduces diesel supply. Yet, the strength in cracks, the main profitability indicator for refining economics in Europe, are now almost exclusively driven by natural gas prices, as evidenced by intraday prices. …

EUAs dropped below 60€/t as the energy markets faced a record volatility

The European power spot prices spiked to record levels near 300€/MWh yesterday, driven up by the morning hefty surge of fuels prices and forecasts of wind shortage and stronger demand for today. The day-ahead prices averaged 301.48€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, +118.94€/MWh day-on-day. The EUAs collapsed by a massive 5.6€/t (-8.7%) on…

European prices closed lower after a very volatile session

After a very volatile session (see our news), European gas prices closed lower yesterday, in line with the sharp drop in coal parity prices. Asia JKM prices on their side closed in a mixed way: +42.35%, to €165.665/MWh, on the spot; -8.76%, to €115.111/MWh, for the December 2021 contract.  Norwegian flows were almost stable, averaging…

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