The White house starts to worry about fuel price inflation

Crude prices remained volatile on Tuesday, as sources close to the White House mentioned that an SPR release of potentially 60 mb was considered, while also mentioning that reinstating the crude oil export ban was a possibility. The White House backed-tracked later in the day, which boosted crude prices, with ICE Brent Dec21 contract close to 83 $/b.…

Power prices dropped further while EUAs slightly recovered

Although strongly easing from the previous day’s peak, the European power spot prices remained at high levels above 200€/MWh yesterday, supported by the nonetheless still high gas prices, the below-average temperatures strengthening the power demand and a wind shortage. The day-ahead prices averaged 203.84€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, -97/64€/MWh day-on-day. The carbon…

Prices weakened again

European gas prices dropped again yesterday, pressured by more comfortable spot fundamentals and the strong fall in Asia JKM prices (-36.79%, to €104.713/MWh, on the spot; -7.07%, to €106.913/MWh, for the December 2021 contract). At the close, NBP ICE November 2021 prices dropped by 27.940 p/th day-on-day (-10.22%), to 245.510 p/th. TTF ICE November 2021…

Optimism returns to the markets but rates continue to rise

The temporary deal on the US debt ceiling also gives the Democrats time to agree on the stimulus packages that the Biden administration wants to push through. This may explain why the markets reacted so favourably to the lifting of a risk they never really took seriously (a US default). The sharp rebound in China’s services PMI in…

Diesel supply and demand shocks

Diesel cracks are soaring globally, which may indicate that there is stronger demand, partly due to oil-to-gas switch and a recovery in aviation demand that reduces diesel supply. Yet, the strength in cracks, the main profitability indicator for refining economics in Europe, are now almost exclusively driven by natural gas prices, as evidenced by intraday prices. …

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