EUAs fall below 90€/t on Article 29a amendment proposal, but uncertainties remain

The European power spot prices continued to decrease and fell below the clean coal costs yesterday as the spiking wind production, easing power demand and slightly higher French nuclear availability offset the lower Belgian nuclear availability expected from today due to Tihange 3 reactor (1GW) going off for maintenance. The day-ahead prices averaged 104.90€/MWh in…

A three-beat waltz

The oil market has been quite volatile since yesterday: the price of Brent 1st-nearby exceeded $96/b before plunging to $91/b and then rising to $94/b this morning. Despite the (supposed) easing of geopolitical tensions, prices rose again yesterday against the backdrop of a short-term imbalance between dynamic demand and rigid supply. The surprise rise in US crude…

Impact of Fed Minutes overshadowed by geopolitical risk

The impact of the Fed Minutes on the markets was quite different from the earthquake caused by the publication of the previous ones: long rates eased slightly and the implied probability that the Fed will raise its key rate by 50bp in March fell back below 50%. But the rise in geopolitical risk with incidents on the…

The sharp drop in oil prices leaves them at very high levels

The oil market reacted logically to the announcement of a partial withdrawal of Russian troops massed on the border with Ukraine: prices showed their biggest daily drop since the beginning of the year, with Brent 1st-nearby losing more than $3/b. One might think that there is still some downside potential if indeed the easing is confirmed, but…

Power and carbon prices faded on gas sell-off

The European power spot prices fell yesterday on a combination of lower gas prices, improving French nuclear availability and forecasts of surging wind and hydro production with the wind generation expected to climb above 40GW in Germany. The day-ahead prices averaged 139.82GW in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, -43.22€/MWh day-on-day. Albeit staying in a…

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