EUAs collapsed on 2022 free allocation start

The European power spot prices sharply rebounded yesterday on expectations of much weaker nuclear availability, although the still very high renewable production dampened the bullish factor. The day-ahead prices averaged 153.43€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, +48.53€/MWh day-on-day. The EUAs fell by 3.8% on Thursday as reports that some member states have began…

EUAs fall below 90€/t on Article 29a amendment proposal, but uncertainties remain

The European power spot prices continued to decrease and fell below the clean coal costs yesterday as the spiking wind production, easing power demand and slightly higher French nuclear availability offset the lower Belgian nuclear availability expected from today due to Tihange 3 reactor (1GW) going off for maintenance. The day-ahead prices averaged 104.90€/MWh in…

A three-beat waltz

The oil market has been quite volatile since yesterday: the price of Brent 1st-nearby exceeded $96/b before plunging to $91/b and then rising to $94/b this morning. Despite the (supposed) easing of geopolitical tensions, prices rose again yesterday against the backdrop of a short-term imbalance between dynamic demand and rigid supply. The surprise rise in US crude…

Impact of Fed Minutes overshadowed by geopolitical risk

The impact of the Fed Minutes on the markets was quite different from the earthquake caused by the publication of the previous ones: long rates eased slightly and the implied probability that the Fed will raise its key rate by 50bp in March fell back below 50%. But the rise in geopolitical risk with incidents on the…

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