EUAs pursued their slow recovery while power prices traded sideways

The European power spot prices continued to rise yesterday, lifted by higher gas prices and forecasts od weaker French nuclear availability, fading renewable generation and stronger demand. The day-ahead prices averaged 271.15€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, +23.73€/MWh day-on-day. The carbon prices posted a timid 1.1% daily gain on Tuesday, weighed in the…

Extreme price volatility

In less than 2 hours yesterday, the price of Brent 1st-nearby first approached $115/b before plunging towards $104/b. It has since recovered to around $113/b.  Fears of the consequences of the restrictive measures taken in Shanghai to curb the pandemic and hopes for peace in Ukraine on a rather shaky basis at the moment (see Daily Eco) explain the fall. Explaining…

Prices up on colder weather

European gas prices were up yesterday, supported by forecasts of colder weather. However, spot fundamentals remain comfortable overall as storages show (European gas storages are in net injection mode since March 22). On the pipeline supply side, Russian flows were almost stable yesterday, averaging 251 mm cm/day, compared to 250 mm cm/day on Monday. Norwegian…

Hopes for peace but what about sanctions?

Markets reacted strongly yesterday to Russia’s announcement of a significant reduction in military activity in the Kiev region. Many saw this as confirmation of progress in the negotiations and hopes of a ceasefire or even a lasting peace were boosted. European equity markets have now fully recovered their losses since the start of the war, while…

EUA clawed back losses amid low liquidity

The European power spot prices inched up yesterday as the expectations of lower French nuclear availability offset the forecasts of stronger wind output and weaker demand. The day-ahead prices averaged 250.32€/MWh in Germany, France, Belgium and the Netherlands, +10.66€/MWh day-on-day. The EUAs rebounded from Wednesday’s retracement in a bullish move mostly fueled by the market’s…

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