The Fed’s preferred measure of inflation accelerated to +3.1% yoy in April, but equities advanced further and the 10y bond yield fell below 1.6%. Markets still consider those tensions will remain transitory. The Chinese PMIs were solid in May, confirming the strengthening in domestic activity. By contrast, Japan looks closer to recession after weak retail…
Falling EUA and fuel prices dragged European power prices sharply down on the curve on Thursday on the back of an upward revision in temperature forecasts for early June. EUA Dec 21 prices slumped by almost 2 euros close-to-close, moving back below their 20-day moving average in what looks like a technical correction after several…
European gas prices dropped significantly yesterday, pressured by lower residential demand due to higher temperatures and higher Norwegian supply. Indeed, Norwegian flows recovered yesterday, averaging 273 mm cm/day, compared to 253 mm cm/day on Wednesday, after power has been restored at the Kollsnes gas processing plant. As for Russian flows, they were very slightly down…
Brent 1st-nearby prices have neared the key level of $70/b this morning. Expectations of higher oil output from OPEC+ producers and the potential comeback of the Iranian oil on the market are more than offset by evidence of strong economic recovery in the US. The decline in US crude and products stocks as well as…
Financial markets came out of their torpor yesterday, as optimism came back with a vengeance. The release of good US economic reports as well as high expectations ahead of Mr. Biden’s budget announcements have supported equities, a move however thwarted by the parallel rebound in bond yields, the US 10y jumping above 1.6% again. This…
