Return of the reflation trade?
Rising equities, the second biggest rise of the year in bond yields and a falling dollar seem to suggest that it was more optimism about global growth…
As expected, the House passed the stimulus bill yesterday. First checks will be sent as soon as this month the Treasury promised. In parallel, the bond market was reassured by lower-than-expected core inflation figures and a quiet 10-year Treasury bond auction. The US 10-y bond yield eased slightly further and the stock market posted some gains, except the Nasdaq that was marginally down. The USD lost some ground, the EUR/USD coming back above 1.19. The ECB meeting will be the main event today.
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